• 四7
  • 11223CEPA304045496771WTO8293
  • acem@macau.ctm.net
  • 802060198716131.
  • 12%2006200219992.820002006728019992020063724%3%860%2.200220072005(fDi)3.
  • 30820105520101320068.8%48.5%16.4%
  • 60%40%60-70%2003200220022003
  • 1.2.3.CEPACEPA
  • 29531.82010601040
  • 24299%80%4
  • 81.34310
  • 2040C.G.Clark19401994
  • WilliamPettyAdamSmithSimonKuznets
  • =/5±12.5±11±0.5
  • 40022.8%27.6%41.1%8.5%43.8%23.5%32.7%KanameAkamatsu1960/
  • 1.
  • 17200013,159200642,62620006.74%200616.08%20006,15620069,537200027.66%200642.32%20002005
  • 2000--2006
  • HACCP1011950-1970/
  • /
  • 1.19942.19783.19724.20045.1972
  • (MIF)GDP1%8%1:91920%25%GDP
  • 200380340120408,0001,000123003010040
  • 21(MIF)MIF10
  • (MIF)
  • ATM
  • CEPA2005fDi200412008201037
  • 20069
  • 20031017(CEPA)20041120041020051020066CEPA268CEPACEPACEPA200411200632432072006232240200632272006292200411220061015
  • 5.72004624820055249171836200487704761.420051009442CEPA2005200559.720048.3%20037CEPA200612492
  • 2003602004351.82005533.152%51%20061,5251,105289.11200362980%CEPA2006261638CEPA2004
  • 70909%19951.810200119952000200510%200428.3%20052005GDP925.96.7%GDP19.52.42005511.6198.2200412.1%313.4200412.3%20066%2000200551802005282199920006.8%20036%20054.1%4%20055,765199920%200220032005
  • 2005105.945.644.14.42005413.72004102CEPA2006629CEPA2007111513CEPACEPACEPACEPA
  • CEPACEPACEPACEPACEPACEPACEPACEPACEPACEPACEPACEPACEPA273CEPACEPACEPACEPACEPA4%CEPA
  • 2.95%0.24%CEPA30%CEPACEPA3200445041010CEPACEPACEPACEPACEPA
  • CEPACEPACEPA23CEPA14199119922
  • 60%40%60%1/3
  • CEPACEPACEPACEPACEPA
  • HashiHajdukovicHashiHajdukovicLASVEGASSTRIPHashi,I.,D.Hajdukovic,IndustrialRestructuringandCompetitiveness:EmpiricalEvidencefromtheCzechRepublic,HungaryandPoland,WorkingPapers:CentreforResearchonEmergingEconomics,UK,2006.Hashi,I.,D.Hajdukovic,IndustrialRestructuringandCompetitiveness:EmpiricalEvidencefromtheCzechRepublic,HungaryandPoland,WorkingPapers:CentreforResearchonEmergingEconomics,UK,2006;Wziatek-Kubiak,A.,I.Magda,“ChangesintheCompetitivePositionoftheCzechRepublic,HungaryandPolandintheEUMarket,”inStudiesandAnalyses,CentreforSocialandEconomicResearch,Washaw.
  • 9019971990
  • 1.200112.Hashi,I.,D.Hajdukovic,IndustrialRestructuringandCompetitiveness:EmpiricalEvidencefromtheCzechRepublic,HungaryandPoland,WorkingPapers:CentreforResearchonEmerg-ingEconomics,UK,2006.3.Wziatek-Kubiak,A.,CriticalSynthesis,ReviewoftheMainFindings,MethodologiesandCurrentThoughtonCompetitivenessofAccessionCountries.MappingofCompetence,Ms,Warsaw:CASE,2003.4.Wziatek-Kubiak,A.,I.Magda,“ChangesintheCompetitivePositíonoftheCzechRepublic,HungaryandPolandintheEUMarket,”StudiesandAnalyses,CentreforSocialandEconomicResearch,Warsaw,2006.
  • 19921002004
  • 9+2115.889+2
  • 8653409+2111/11489+26
  • 9+23
  • 8517,4001218880%
  • 20607011%13%197380%197419807%7.2%80198511%199010%1999119995200210LauraRandall(ed.),ThePoliticalEconomyofLatinAmericainthePostwarPeriod,UniversityofTexasPress,1997.TheEconomistIntelligenceUnit,CountryProfile2005:Brazil,p.29.999153135525%1013
  • IMFIMFIMF200342910783FleetBoston15020032,40020064220200212.5%20055.7%200512IMF22007156IMFIMFIMF20061http://www.ckln.fm/~asadismi/brazil.htmlWorldBankandtheInternationalFinanceCorporation,CountryAssistanceStrategyProgressReportfortheRepublicofBrazilforthePeriodFY2004~2007,May8,2006.
  • 1.1209019980.1%20044.9%20064%12002119972006(%)ECLAC,EconomicSurveyofLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean2005-2006,July2006,TableA-2.IMFSurvey,January23,2006.WorldBankandtheInternationalFinanceCorporation,CountryAssistanceStrategyProgressReportfortheRepublicofBrazilforthePeriodFY20042007,May8,2006.
  • 200610110292.209019801984148%19851989707.4%19932,489.1%1994URV11630112,7501119982.5%20022G.TullioandM.Ronci,“BrazilianInflationfrom1980to1993:Causes,ConsequencesandDynamics”,JournalofLatinAmeri-canStudies,October1996,p.635.
  • 219962006(%)2006ECLAC,LatinAmericaandtheCaribbean:Projections2006-2007,Santiago,April2006,p.56.3.1999112000199320012005447200020042566621071552TheEconomistIntelligenceUnit2000
  • 1200020062000200120022003200420052006551582604731965118313885585564724836287369687261322483374474202006EIU,CountryForecast:Brazil,July2006;EIU,CountryReport:Brazil,July2006.2003332006EIU,CountryForecast:Brazil,July2006;EIU,CountryReport:Brazil,July2006.2025%15%19991.5%20045%
  • 4.2090FDIFDI2001FDI42070801994Bradybonds199419995GDP200145.3%200523.5%268.9%94.1%75.3%52.1%280%40042005ECLAC,EconomicSurveyofLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean2005-2006,July2006.
  • 520052010EIU,CountryForecast:Brazil,July2006,p.14.22001200220032004200520062010GDP%)45.350.646.836.823.519.717.8%)268.9258.1208.8146.094.160.036.7%)75.369.365.846.452.127.316.520052010EIU,CountryForecast:Brazil,July2006,p.14GDP10.7%31%108%AfonsoFerreiraandGiuseppeTullio,“TheBrazilianExchangeRateCrisisofJanuary1999”,JournalofLatinAmericanStudies,February2002,p.156.
  • 199819978%199822%199842080%199711(Pacote51)51200312IMF1520034.25%2003GDP4.25%20042005AfonsoFerreiraandGiuseppeTullio,“TheBrazilianExchangeRateCrisisofJanuary1999,”JournalofLatinAmericanStudies,February2002,p.156.PeterFlynn,“Brazil:ThePoliticsofCrisis,”ThirdWorldQuarterly,No.2,1999,p.290.Ibid.70“”P.Krugman,“AModelofBalanceofPaymentsCrisis,”JournalofMoney,CreditandBanking,No.11,1979,pp.311-325.50%8%
  • GDP4.6%IMF2003122005720052005119(SRF)(SRP)(SRFB)2007(ICMS)ICMS2003ICMS2004123032%40%20051120051121(ICMS)(GST)DaniloA.Nogueira,“TheLanguageoftheICMSTaxinBrazil,”http://www.accurapid.com/journal/09icms.htm
  • 2005200633GDP200120022003200420052006200724.624.426.825.429.127.527.422.523.722.923.725.224.724.7-2.1-0.7-4.0-1.5-3.8-2.8-2.720052007EIU,CountryForecast:Brazil,July2006,p.11.200012SRF1999199934
  • 19996213088712003200420049200534200520065.1%4.5%2.54%20002001200220032004200556.857.662.967.155.155.417.217.919.122.015.417.617.617.519.123.416.219.1EIU,CountryProfile2005:Brazil,p.45;CountryProfile2005:Brazil,p.47.
  • 20065.4634%1003.5814%551.848525,516133,0009712.9696019,38051,500129WorldBank,WorldDevelopmentIndicator,2006.209066GDPGDPGDP%200420052004200520042005200420054.92.518.021.514.311.21.92.010.19.928.424.422.517.73.65.6WorldBank,WorldDevelopmentIndicator,2006.
  • 7GDP19902004GDP103GDP7GDPGDP%GDP%GDP%GDP%19902004199020041990200419902004199020044,6206,0408103940251153503,54619,31727134246333141WorldBank,WorldDevelopmentIndicator,2006.8300199020043.5200481990200419902004199020041990200412002220944171787897967739553248945513134559080405WorldBank,WorldDevelopmentIndicator,2006.
  • 7080200620337%73.8129.2198420069,1142.00200444594642007822http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/chn/wjb/zzjg/ldmzs/gjlb/2013/default.htmhttp://www.smetrade.org.cn/interMarket/view.tdb?id=3299920061142007822http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/chn/wjb/zzjg/ldmzs/gjlb/2013/default.htm
  • 20032006(CEPA)AmauryPortodeOlivereira,“MacauasaPlatformforBrazil-ChinaCooperation”200549
  • WTO15%30%199416%51.8%41.4%38.7%35.6%29.5%23.2%19912002200539.8%2005934200412.6%497
  • CEPA2000FTA()CEPAGATT/WTOCEPAFTAGATT/WTOFTZFTZFTZ
  • CEPAFTACEPAGATT/WTO
  • 20056
  • 5735200625.336.9%27.7%22%9.8%2.8%0.8%BuyoutGrowthCapitalDistressedTurnAroundBridgePIPE
  • 200511
  • 373557
  • 2006609202003i20061122KKR
  • CEO319986,00020037,00020041112006312006
  • IT/321650%16.2563.9%%1650.0618.8IT412.5412.526.232100.0GICGIC
  • 3iAsia2002952620031,8502004210200520066A20IRRIRR20%IRR3iIRR25%IRR20%200673.3%18.4%8.3%
  • 5
  • 1.20042.20053.200664.200512
  • WTOWTOWTOWTOWTO1
  • 7019811985198619901991199519962000200120064.51.421.51.81.35264.54.24WTO2004206010%9033%70%75%30%199813.4%7.7%7.1%7%37%
  • WTOWTOWTOWTO1.WTO333%5%2.WTOWTO3%3%3%9%20069.0%20069.0%
  • 13%65%3.4.WTO5.WTOWTO10%10%6.SPS
  • 19994TCK7TCK7.TBTWTOTBTTBTWTOTBTWTO(1)WTO
  • WTO(2)WTO
  • WTOWTOWTOWTO(1)TBTWTOTBT
  • (2)10WTOWTOTBT(1)
  • WTO(2)(1)
  • (2)(3)
  • 1.WTO2003314152.WTO20013.20014.19975.EB/OLhttp://www.Shucheng.gov.cn/nkj/shihotl.Htm6.WTO20007.20014
  • 1.200766615161.20077232.20078173.20078314.2007921
  • 1.20076682.20078263.20079144.200791535.20079161.2007623747-400
  • 2.A57452A553.200771622204.2007811

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